Methodology of estimating the population in UAE1) The Component Method : This method is used when data are available fr...
3) Net Migration :  Net migration = Immigrants - Emigrants.  Data are obtained from the administrative records o...
those who hold a valid resident permit as part of the population, accordingly the "de jure" count has been used in the 2...
6) Population Estimates (2006-2009): Population of Year of Natural ...
Accordingly the estimate of the total population was about8,264,070 persons.
National Population by Emirate and Sex ( 2006 end of the year estimates ) Emirate ...
National Population by Emirate and Sex ( 2007 end of the year estimates ) Emirate ...
National Population by Emirate and Sex ( 2008 end of the year estimates ) Emirate ...
National Population by Emirate and Sex ( 2009 end of the year estimates ) Emirate ...
National Population by Emirate and Sex ( 2010 mid year estimates ) Emirate Male ...
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Population estimates 2006 2010

Population estimates 2006-2010
Published on: Mar 4, 2016
Published in: Education      Technology      Economy & Finance      
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Transcripts - Population estimates 2006 2010

  • 1. Methodology of estimating the population in UAE1) The Component Method : This method is used when data are available from a census (baseyear population) , administrative records of births and deaths and netmigration. The estimate is obtained by adding both natural increaseand net migration that have occurred since the last census according tofollowing formula: Pt = Po+B-D+I-EWhere:Pt The Current EstimatePo The Base Year resident Population (2005 census).B Births that have occurred since the last census.D Deaths that have occurred since the last census.I Number of Immigrants since the last census.E Number of emigrants since the last census.t Time elapsed since the last census.2) Natural Increase:  Natural Increase in specific year = Births of the year-Deaths of the year  Data on births and deaths are obtained from the administrative records of the Ministry of Health.
  • 2. 3) Net Migration :  Net migration = Immigrants - Emigrants.  Data are obtained from the administrative records of the Ministry of Interior.4) Calculation of net migration:  The net migration was calculated as follows: Net migration = (residence permits issued for the first time – residence permits that have been cancelled and not renewed) + (arrivals of the Gulf Cooperation Council nationals - departures of the Gulf Cooperation Council nationals).5) Requirements of the estimation: 1. Using this method requires the availability of annual data at the emirate’s level on external and internal migration by sex and nationality, which are obtained from the administrative records of the Ministry of the Interior, in order to calculate the net migration as a component of the previous equation where: (net migration = I-E). 2. Using this method requires also the availability of annual data on births and deaths at the emirate’s level by sex and nationality, which are obtained from the administrative records of the Ministry of Health in order to calculate the natural increase as a component of the previous equation where: (natural increase = B-D)). 3. The authorities in the United Arab Emirates, consider all
  • 3. those who hold a valid resident permit as part of the population, accordingly the "de jure" count has been used in the 2005 census4. Consequently the net migration has been calculated as the difference between the residence permits issued for the first time minus the residence permits that were canceled and not renewed on a yearly basis.5. For the Gulf Cooperation Council nationals the net migration has been calculated as the difference between arrivals and departures due to the fact that they do not need residence permits to stay in the country.6. The resident data obtained from the Ministry of Interior are classified by place of visa issuance or cancelation, therefore the net migration by emirate does not reflect the actual geographical distribution of the population and efforts are underway to find an alternative methodology depending on other sources to find the estimate of the population by emirate.
  • 4. 6) Population Estimates (2006-2009): Population of Year of Natural Net PopulationPrevious Previous Estimation Increase Migration Estimate Year Year 1 2 3 4=1+2+3 2005 4,106,427 2006 56,486 849,471 5,012,384 2006 5,012,384 2007 60,275 1,146,347 6,219,006 2007 6,219,006 2008 61,024 1,793,596 8,073,626 2008 8,073,626 2009 68,577 57,793 8,199,996 7) Population Estimates (2010): Population in mid-2010 was estimated using the model of exponential growth between 2008 and 2009 for the following reasons: 1. The lack of actual population figures due to the fact that the 2010 census, which was scheduled to take place in April 2010, was not conducted because lack of financial resources. 2. The incompleteness of the administrative data needed for applying the component method. 3. Exponential growth model gives good results in the short run (a half year), especially in the absence of any indications of a significant change in the movement of population during the underlying period.
  • 5. Accordingly the estimate of the total population was about8,264,070 persons.
  • 6. National Population by Emirate and Sex ( 2006 end of the year estimates ) Emirate Male Female TotalAbu Dhabi 182,603 179,033 361,636Dubai 72,321 71,975 144,296Sharjah 72,756 68,525 141,281Ajman 20,488 19,409 39,897Umm Al - Quwain 8,086 8,152 16,238Ras Al - Khaimah 45,283 44,502 89,785Fujairah 29,109 28,922 58,031 Total 430,646 420,518 851,164 Population by Nationality ( National - Non National) and Sex ( 2006 end of the year estimates ) Nationality Male Female TotalNational 430,646 420,518 851,164Non - National 3,102,918 1,058,302 4,161,220 Total 3,533,564 1,478,820 5,012,384Source: National Bureau of Statistics.
  • 7. National Population by Emirate and Sex ( 2007 end of the year estimates ) Emirate Male Female TotalAbu Dhabi 188,510 185,074 373,584Dubai 75,677 75,450 151,127Sharjah 74,279 70,040 144,319Ajman 20,827 19,728 40,555Umm Al-Quwain 8,245 8,331 16,576Ras Al Khaimah 46,285 45,492 91,777Fujairah 29,967 29,836 59,803 Total 443,790 433,951 877,741 Population by Nationality ( National - Non National ) and Sex ( 2007 end of the year estimates ) Nationality Male Female TotalNational 443,790 433,951 877,741Non - National 4,089,491 1,251,774 5,341,265 Total 4,533,281 1,685,725 6,219,006Source: National Bureau of Statistics.
  • 8. National Population by Emirate and Sex ( 2008 end of the year estimates ) Emirate Male Female TotalAbu Dhabi 194,510 191,145 385,655Dubai 78,853 78,661 157,514Sharjah 76,019 71,836 147,855Ajman 21,129 20,063 41,192Umm Al-Quwain 8,424 8,506 16,930Ras Al Khaimah 47,399 46,574 93,973Fujairah 30,914 30,824 61,738 Total 457,248 447,609 904,857 Population by Nationality ( National - Non National ) and Sex ( 2008 end of the year estimates ) Nationality Male Female TotalNational 457,248 447,609 904,857Non - National 5,582,723 1,586,046 7,168,769 Total 6,039,971 2,033,655 8,073,626Source: National Bureau of Statistics.
  • 9. National Population by Emirate and Sex ( 2009 end of the year estimates ) Emirate Male Female TotalAbu Dhabi 200,857 197,291 398,148Dubai 82,408 82,040 164,448Sharjah 77,874 73,632 151,506Ajman 21,442 20,410 41,852Umm Al-Quwain 8,588 8,708 17,296Ras Al Khaimah 48,580 47,749 96,329Fujairah 31,953 31,849 63,802 Total 471,702 461,679 933,381 Population by Nationality ( National - Non National ) and Sex ( 2009 end of the year estimates ) Nationality Male Female TotalNational 471,702 461,679 933,381Non - National 5,649,183 1,617,432 7,266,615 Total 6,120,885 2,079,111 8,199,996Source: National Bureau of Statistics.
  • 10. National Population by Emirate and Sex ( 2010 mid year estimates ) Emirate Male Female TotalAbu Dhabi 204,108 200,438 404,546Dubai 84,245 83,784 168,029Sharjah 78,818 74,547 153,365Ajman 21,600 20,586 42,186Umm Al-Quwain 8,671 8,811 17,482Ras Al Khaimah 49,181 48,348 97,529Fujairah 32,486 32,374 64,860 Total 479,109 468,888 947,997 Population by Nationality ( National -Non National ) and Sex ( 2010 mid year estimates ) Nationality Male Female TotalNational 479,109 468,888 947,997Non - National 5,682,711 1,633,362 7,316,073 Total 6,161,820 2,102,250 8,264,070Source: National Bureau of Statistics.