The Future of the 905 Communities NAIOP Greater Toronto Chapter Antony P. Lorius October 19 th , 2011
Five Questions: <ul><li>Where will the growth occur? </li></ul><ul><li>What is the relationship between Toronto and the 9...
Greater Toronto Area and Hamilton (GTAH) will continue to grow rapidly GTAH 2011 6,820,000 3,440,000 2031 8,620,000 4,...
Location relative to US markets partly explains the historic pattern US 219 I-69 I-87 I-75 Georgian Bay Lake Ontario Lake ...
Within GTAH, growth will continue to favour north and west 905 communities Source: Hemson Consulting Ltd. 2011 Populatio...
Toronto-905 relationship is already more balanced than commonly thought Commuting Flows 2006 Census Source: Hemson Consu...
Infrastructure plans geared towards transit, but roads still matter
Greenbelt will not significantly restrict growth until well past 2031 Niagara Escarpment Oak Ridges Moraine Protected Coun...
Conditions create an incredible market opportunity for the City of Vaughan
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Naiop Future Of 905 Final Version

Published on: Mar 3, 2016
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Transcripts - Naiop Future Of 905 Final Version

  • 1. The Future of the 905 Communities NAIOP Greater Toronto Chapter Antony P. Lorius October 19 th , 2011
  • 2. Five Questions: <ul><li>Where will the growth occur? </li></ul><ul><li>What is the relationship between Toronto and the 905 and how will it change? </li></ul><ul><li>What is the plan for infrastructure? </li></ul><ul><li>What is the impact of the Greenbelt? </li></ul><ul><li>How will that affect development? </li></ul>
  • 3. Greater Toronto Area and Hamilton (GTAH) will continue to grow rapidly GTAH 2011 6,820,000 3,440,000 2031 8,620,000 4,330,000 GGH 2011 9,030,000 4,460,000 2031 11,500,000 5,560,000 Population Employment Cambridge Mississauga Milton Guelph 403 401 407 401 407 400 404 427 410 Toronto Developed Urban Area Employment Areas LBPIA QEW 401 403 Brampton 407 401 407 427 410 Toronto Vaughan Major Office Development International Airports Intermodal Yards Future Transportation Corridors QEW 401 403 Caledon Waterloo Kitchener Brantford Markham Whitby-Oshawa Woodstock Source: Hemson Consulting Ltd. NTS Mississauga Oakville Burlington Pickering-Ajax Hamilton Georgetown
  • 4. Location relative to US markets partly explains the historic pattern US 219 I-69 I-87 I-75 Georgian Bay Lake Ontario Lake Erie Ottawa River St. Lawrence River ONTARIO U.S.A. I-77 I-90 I-94 Rochester Buffalo Sarnia Montreal Albany Chicago Toledo Sault Ste. Marie I-90 Lake Huron Lake Michigan Detroit U.S.A. Source: Hemson Consulting Ltd. NTS I-75 and I-69 Auto and Manufacturing Corridors: Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee and Alabama. Connections to Mexican manufacturing centres via Ciudad Juarez and Nuevo Laredo I-77 and I-79 Pittsburgh and Ohio Manufacturing centres and points south US 219 Proposed NAFTA “Super-Highway” connecting Toronto to Atlanta and Miami I-90 and I-87 Proposed NAFTA “Super-Highway” connecting Toronto to Atlanta and Miami I-94 Chicago and upper midwest. Western Canada and USA Hamilton I-75 I-79 401 Toronto
  • 5. Within GTAH, growth will continue to favour north and west 905 communities Source: Hemson Consulting Ltd. 2011 Population Toronto Durham York Peel Halton Hamilton GTAH Share of Growth 2011 to 2031 19% 18% 24% 18% 15% 6% 100% 2031 Share of Total 36% 11% 17% 19% 9% 8% 100% Employment Toronto Durham York Peel Halton Hamilton GTAH Share of Growth 2011 to 2031 14% 13% 28% 23% 16% 8% 100% 2031 Share of Total 38% 8% 18% 20% 9% 7% 100%
  • 6. Toronto-905 relationship is already more balanced than commonly thought Commuting Flows 2006 Census Source: Hemson Consulting Ltd. based on 2006 Census Data 152,000 74,000 9,300 102,000 130,000 72,000
  • 7. Infrastructure plans geared towards transit, but roads still matter
  • 8. Greenbelt will not significantly restrict growth until well past 2031 Niagara Escarpment Oak Ridges Moraine Protected Countryside GREENBELT PLAN AREA Approximate Urban Land Requirement Beyond Existing Boundaries Note: (Map is not to scale) Clarington King East Gwillimbury Whitchurch Stouffville Uxbridge Georgina Scugog Brock Brampton Mississauga Oakville Vaughan Markham Toronto Pickering Ajax Whitby Richmond Hill Newmarket Aurora Caledon Burlington Halton Hills Milton Niagara Oshawa Hamilton
  • 9. Conditions create an incredible market opportunity for the City of Vaughan

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