Information Products for Nile Basin Water Resources Management GCP/INT/945/ITA
c/o FAO Representative Office in Uganda P. ...
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PopulationProspects

Published on: Mar 4, 2016
Source: www.slideshare.net


Transcripts - PopulationProspects

  • 1. Information Products for Nile Basin Water Resources Management GCP/INT/945/ITA c/o FAO Representative Office in Uganda P. O.Box 521, Kampala, UGANDA Phone: (256) 414 321391 info@ faonile.org www.faonile.orgThe project is intended to strengthen the ability of the governments of the Nile Riparian States to take informed decisions on water resources policy and management matters regarding the common Nile resource. It includes a major capacity building component. The project is implemented under the umbrella of the Nile Basin Initiative. ugandarwandakenya sudan tanzaniaburundi eritrea ethiopiad.r.congo egypt A project sponsored by the Government of Italy POPULATION PROSPECTS IN THE NILE BASIN 2005 Estimates 2030 Projections 0 - 10 11 - 25 26 - 50 51 - 100 101 - 250 251 - 500 501 - 1,000 1,001 - 2,500 2,501 - 5,000 5,001 - 50,000 50,001 - 100,000 Lakes Rivers Country Boundary Towns Basin Boundary Scale; 1: 8,000,000, on A0 poster N Population distribution per square kilometer Legend Burundi DRC Egypt Eritrea Ethiopia Kenya Rwanda Sudan Tanzania Uganda Sum 2005 - 2030 Nile Basin Population Prospects: Medium UNPD Variant Country 2005 (’000) Nile Basin 2005 (’000) Nile Basin 2030 (’000) 7,859 58,741 72,850 4,527 78,986 35,599 9,234 36,900 38,478 28,947 372,121 4,615 1,851 72,617 1,721 31,044 13,359 7,685 32,406 7,933 28,477 201,708 9,911 4,117 101,465 3,489 50,345 25,411 14,066 53,664 13,194 60,418 336,080 Burundi DRC Egypt Eritrea Ethiopia Kenya Rwanda Sudan Tanzania Uganda Sum 2030 Prospects: Low - Medium - High UNPD Variants Country 2030 Low Variant (’000) 2030 Medium Variant (’000) 2030 High Variant (’000) 16,367 116,119 96,189 7,895 128,639 58,563 15,683 54,460 61,096 57,968 612,979 +65 17,232 122,734 104,070 8,433 137,052 62,762 16,646 58,446 65,516 61,548 654,439 + 76 18,103 128,220 112,045 8,975 145,530 67,015 17,614 62,464 69,991 65,163 695,120 + 87 Burundi DRC Egypt Eritrea Ethiopia Kenya Rwanda Sudan Tanzania Uganda 2005 - 2030 Rural - Urban Prospects: Medium UNPD Variant Country 2005 Urban (’000) 2030 Urban (’000) 2030 Rural % 801 18,845 31,291 916 12,511 14,263 1,968 14,775 14,373 3,580 3,604 59,891 57,875 3,040 36,971 38,017 8,401 32,806 32,722 14,691 80 51 44 64 73 39 49 44 50 74 This poster presents population densities in the Nile countries in 2005 and projections for 2030. According to the United Nations Population Division (UNPD), the countries will hit a medium estimate of 654 million in 2030 from 372 million in 2005. Currently 54% of the total population lives within the Nile basin. Population is highest in the East African Plateau, the Nile valley, the Nile delta, the Ethiopian highlands, and in Khartoum. High densities in the Lake Victoria region are in Uganda’s capital Kampala, in Kenya’s Nakuru town, and in Rwanda and Burundi. Vast areas of Sudan are unoccupied. After Khartoum, density is high at Atbarah and fairly high in the irrigated areas south of Khartoum. In Egypt population density is high along the Nile, stretching from Aswan to the Mediterranean Sea. Virtually every Egyptian -- 99.7% -- lives in the Nile basin. Ethiopia has high concentrations around Lake Tana and the city of Bahir Dar. The country’s highest population density is however outside the Nile basin, especially in Addis Ababa and the areas around Awasa. Large areas of the DR Congo, Eritrea, Kenya and Tanzania are sparsely populated. But population density is substantial in their Nile basin areas. Population explosion – as we move towards 2030 – is observed mainly around Lake Victoria, in the Ethiopian Highlands, and in several parts of the Nile valley and the Nile delta. While the settlement pattern in the lower riparians follows the river, in the upper riaprians it tends to follow rainfall distribution. About this poster 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Assumptions Country totals are derived from the UNPD 2005 and 2030 medium variant; Relative population distribution is from Landscan 2004; Differences between US Bureau of Census and UNPD 2005 adjusted proportionally per grid cell; Urban growth spread proportionally over urban areas; Rural growth spread proportionally over rural areas; Areas classified as urban in 2005 remain urban in 2030; Areas classified as rural remain rural in 2030, with the exception of rural areas in close proximity of existing urban areas. • United Nations Population Division, 2030 medium variant • US Bureau of Census, 2005 • LandScan 2004 Distributed Population layer • AFRICOVER urban areas • ESRI Gazetteer • Urban polygons digitized by the project for DR Congo, Egypt and Ethiopia Data Sources These maps are not an authority on international boundaries P P P P P P P P P P P P P P S U D A N E T H I O P I A E G Y P T U G A N D A K E N Y A D R C T A N Z A N I A E R I T R E A R W A N D A B U R U N D I Nakuru Nairobi Mombasa JinjaKampala Goma Kananga Juba Uwayl Torit Nyala Kusti Kasala Malakal `Atbarah Khartoum Al Fashir Wad Madani Port Sudan Al Ubayyid Al Qadarif Wadi Halfa' Tant Aswan Cairo Al-Minya Al-Faiyum As-Suways Al-Mansura Alexandria Asmera Tessenei Jima Dese Awasa Mekele Gonder Nazret Bahir Dar Addis Ababa Arusha Shinyanga 40°0'0"E 40°0'0"E 30°0'0"E 30°0'0"E 30°0'0"N 30°0'0"N 20°0'0"N 20°0'0"N 10°0'0"N 10°0'0"N 0°0'0" 0°0'0" P P P P P P P P P P B U R U N D I R W A N D A S U D A N E T H I O P I A E G Y P T U G A N D A K E N Y A D R C T A N Z A N I A E R I T R E A Bujumbura Nakuru Nairobi Mombasa JinjaKampala Goma Kananga Juba Uwayl Torit Nyala Kusti Kasala Malakal `Atbarah Khartoum Al Fashir Wad Madani Port Sudan Al Ubayyid Al Qadarif Wadi Halfa' Asmera Tessenei Arusha Shinyanga Jima Dese Awasa Mekele Gonder Nazret Bahir Dar Addis Ababa Tant Aswan Cairo Al-Minya Al-Faiyum As-Suways Al-Mansura Alexandria 40°0'0"E 40°0'0"E 30°0'0"E 30°0'0"E 30°0'0"N 30°0'0"N 20°0'0"N 20°0'0"N 10°0'0"N 10°0'0"N 0°0'0" 0°0'0" Bujumbura

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