National Planning Law
2015-2016
Fiscal year
Wunna Htun
Governance Coordinator
ActionAid Myanmar
Three chapters
• Chapter (1) Title and Definition
• Chapter (2)Economic Development Objectives
• Chapter (3) General Provi...
General Definition
• National Plan: Set of plans of action of Union
Government for socio-economic development of the
count...
For calculation of GDP Growth
• Basic Year Price Index-
- Price index of commodities and services of
2010-2011 fiscal year...
Chapter (2)
• Real GDP projection (targeted)
• - By taking as a basic of 2010-2011, real GDP
growth has been targeted to p...
Sectoral GDP Growth ( targeted)
( 14 sectors in total)
Sr No Sector Targeted % of
growth 2014-2015
Targeted % of
growth 20...
Cont:
10 Communication 68.9 % 46.9%
11 Financial 23.9 % 26.5%
12 Social and
management
21.2 % 8.3%
13 Renting and other
se...
GDP growth of Regions and states (targeted)
Sr N State and Regions % in growth of
2014-2015
% in growth of
2015-2016
1 Kac...
% of contribution from different
sectors ( 100%)
Agriculutre 28.6 % 27.5%
Industry 35.0 % 35.4%
Service 36.4% 37.1%
Total ...
• Maximum targeted GDP growth area is Yangon
region with targeted growth of 12.1% . And
• Minimum targeted GDP growth area...
Targeted GDP growth of three main sectors ( Comparison
between 2014-2015 and 2015-2016)
Sectors Fiscal year
( Agricultural...
Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year
( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)
( Agricultural and ...
Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year
( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)
( Industrial Sector...
Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year
( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)
( Service Sector)
S...
Targeted GDP growth of regions and states for 2015- 2016 fiscal year
( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)
Regions and
...
Targeted GDP growth of regions and statesfor 2014- 2015 fiscal year
( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)
Regions and
s...
Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year
( Base on basic year price index)
( Produc...
Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year
( Base on basic year price index)
( Servic...
Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year
( Base on Yearly Price Index)
(Agriculutra...
Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year
(Base on yearly price changes index)
( Ser...
Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year
(Base on yearly price changes index)
( Ser...
Changes in contribution of GDP growth of states and regions for 2015- 2016 fiscal year
(Base on yearly price changes index...
Targeted GDP growth of regions and states for 2014- 2015 fiscal year
( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year)
Regions and
...
Investment plan for each sector based on 2015-2016 fiscal year
Sector 2013-2014 fiscal year
( National Planning)
2014-15 f...
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National planning law in brief fyi 2015 2016

Detail analysis of Myanmar National Planning Law for FYI 2015-2016.
Published on: Mar 3, 2016
Published in: News & Politics      
Source: www.slideshare.net


Transcripts - National planning law in brief fyi 2015 2016

  • 1. National Planning Law 2015-2016 Fiscal year Wunna Htun Governance Coordinator ActionAid Myanmar
  • 2. Three chapters • Chapter (1) Title and Definition • Chapter (2)Economic Development Objectives • Chapter (3) General Provisions • This law shall be called as National Planning Law for FYI 2015-2016 • This law is enacted in 1st April 2015. • This law is the last annual planning law for first five year short term plan from 2011-2012 to 2015-2016 FYI years.
  • 3. General Definition • National Plan: Set of plans of action of Union Government for socio-economic development of the country. It could be sectorally or regionally or country as a whole. • Which includes 20 years long term plan, 5 years short term plans and annual plan which is drawn upon every financial year. • This plan covers sectoral plans, Human resource development plans, project plans, industrial zones, SEZ and Urban plans, agricultural development plan, investment development plans, rural development plans, boarder areas development plans.
  • 4. For calculation of GDP Growth • Basic Year Price Index- - Price index of commodities and services of 2010-2011 fiscal year. • Yearly Price Index- - Price index of commodities and services which has occurred according to every fiscal year.
  • 5. Chapter (2) • Real GDP projection (targeted) • - By taking as a basic of 2010-2011, real GDP growth has been targeted to project into 9.1 %.
  • 6. Sectoral GDP Growth ( targeted) ( 14 sectors in total) Sr No Sector Targeted % of growth 2014-2015 Targeted % of growth 2015-2016 1 Agricultural Sector 2.7 % 2.3% 2 Fishery and livestock 8.2 % 8.0% 3 Forestry - 29.4 % ( will be decreased as government is planning to stop raw timber export starting from 2014- 2015 fiscal year) 0.2 % 4 Energy 13.4 % 2.6% 5 Mining 8.8 % 9.5% 6 Industry 9.5 % 10.1% 7 Electricity 11.6 % 9.1% 8 Construction 14.1 % 11.0% 9 Transportation 68.9 % 9.1%
  • 7. Cont: 10 Communication 68.9 % 46.9% 11 Financial 23.9 % 26.5% 12 Social and management 21.2 % 8.3% 13 Renting and other services 11.7 % 12.1% 14 Trade 5.4 % 6.7%
  • 8. GDP growth of Regions and states (targeted) Sr N State and Regions % in growth of 2014-2015 % in growth of 2015-2016 1 Kachin 2.0 5.5 2 Kayah 10.1 9.3 3 Kayin 15.4 11.0 4 Chin 26.4 4.9 5 Sagaing 9.6 10.1 6 Tanintharyi 9.4 10.4 7 Bago 8.7 10.7 8 Magway 8.2 9.4 9 Mandalay 12.4 10.1 10 Mon 10.4 8.7 11 Rakhine 5.7 7.6 12 Yangon 9.3 12.1 13 Shan 5.0 4.5 14 Ayeyarwaddy 6.2 4.9 15 Nay Pyi Taw Union Council area 28.2 8.2
  • 9. % of contribution from different sectors ( 100%) Agriculutre 28.6 % 27.5% Industry 35.0 % 35.4% Service 36.4% 37.1% Total 100 % 100 %
  • 10. • Maximum targeted GDP growth area is Yangon region with targeted growth of 12.1% . And • Minimum targeted GDP growth area is Chin state with targeted growth of 4.5 %. • Investment Ratio is Public Sector 25.6%, Cooperative sector 0.01 % and Private sector is 74.4%. • Per Capita GDP is from 281,105 to 1,403,978.
  • 11. Targeted GDP growth of three main sectors ( Comparison between 2014-2015 and 2015-2016) Sectors Fiscal year ( Agricultural and livestock sector) 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP GDP growth rate % of Contribution to GDP GDP growth rate Agricultural 30.3 3.9 20.8 3.8 Industry 29.1 10.4 29.3 10.2 Service 40.6 12.4 41.9 12.7
  • 12. Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year) ( Agricultural and livestock Sector) Sub-sector Fiscal year ( Agricultural and livestock sector) Agriculutre and Livestock 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP GDP growth rate % of Contribution to GDP GDP growth rate Agricultural 21.9 2.7 20.5 2.3 Fishery and livestock 8.2 8.7 8.1 8.0 Forestry 0.2 29.4 0.2 0.2
  • 13. Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year) ( Industrial Sector) Sub-sector Industry ( Manufacturi ng) Fiscal year ( Industrial Sector) 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP GDP growth rate % of Contribution to GDP targeted GDP growth Energy 0.2 13.4 0.1 2.6 Mining 0.8 8.8 0.8 9.5 Industry (manufacturi ng) 21.7 9.5 21.9 18.1 Electricity 1.2 11.6 1.2 9.1 Construction 5.2 14.1 5.3 11.8 Total 29.1 10.4 29.3 10.2
  • 14. Targeted GDP growth of each sector for 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year) ( Service Sector) Sub-sector Fiscal year (Service Sector) Service 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP GDP growth rate % of Contribution to GDP GDP growth rate Transportation 12.3 7.6 12.2 9.1 Tele-com 4.8 68.9 6.5 46.9 Financial 0.2 23.9 0.3 26.5 Social and Management 2.6 21.2 2.5 0.3 Rental and other services 2.3 11.7 2.4 12.1 Trade 10.4 5.4 18.0 6.7 Total 40.6 12.4 41.9 12.7
  • 15. Targeted GDP growth of regions and states for 2015- 2016 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year) Regions and states Fiscal year Regions and states 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP GDP growth rate % of Contribution to GDP targeted GDP growth Kachin 2.3 2.0 2.2 5.5 Kayah 0.4 10.1 0.4 9.3 Kayin 1.9 15.4 1.9 11.0 Chin 0.4 26.4 0.4 4.9 Sagaing 11.6 9.6 11.7 10.1 Tanintharyi 3.4 9.4 3.5 10.4 Bago 8.6 8.7 8.7 10.7 Magway 9.5 8.2 9.5 9.4 Mandalay 11.4 12.4 11.5 10.1
  • 16. Targeted GDP growth of regions and statesfor 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year) Regions and states Fiscal year Regions and states 2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP Acutal GDP growth % of Contribution to GDP targeted GDP growth Mon 4.3 10.4 4.3 8.7 Rakhine 3.7 5.7 3.6 7.6 Yangon 22.3 9.3 22.8 12.1 Shan 6.8 5.0 6.5 4.5 Ayeyarwaddy 11.0 6.2 10.6 4.9 Naypyitaw 2.4 28.2 2.4 8.2
  • 17. Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year ( Base on basic year price index) ( Production) Sub-sector Fiscal year Production Production 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP Growth Rate % of Contribution to GDP Growth Rate Agricultural 21.9 2.7 20.5 2.3 Fishery 8.2 8.7 8.1 8.0 Forestry 0.2 29.4 0.2 0.2 Energy 0.2 13.4 0.1 2.6 Mining 0.8 8.8 0.8 9.5 Industry 21.7 9.5 21.9 10.1 Electricity 1.2 11.6 1.2 9.1 Construction 5.2 14.1 5.3 10.8 Total 59.4 7.0 58.1 6.9
  • 18. Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year ( Base on basic year price index) ( Service) Sub-sector Fiscal year Production Service 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP Growth Rate % of Contribution to GDP Growth Rate Transpiration 12.3 7.6 12.2 9.1 Tele- communication 4.8 68.9 6.5 46.9 Finance 0.2 23.9 0.3 26.5 Social and Management 2.6 21.2 2.5 8.3 Rental and other services 2.3 11.7 2.4 12.1 Total 22.2 19.1 21.9 17.7
  • 19. Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year ( Base on Yearly Price Index) (Agriculutral Sector) Sub-sector Fiscal year (Service ) Agriculture 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year Price % of Contribution to GDP % of Contribution to GDP Changes in contribution to GDP Agriculture 20.8 19.7 5.0 Fishery and Livestock 7.6 7.6 10.8 Forestry 0.2 0.2 1.1 Total 28.6 27.5 6.6
  • 20. Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year (Base on yearly price changes index) ( Service Sector) Sub-sector Fiscal year (Industry - manufacturing) Industry (Manufacturin g) 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year Price % of Contribution to GDP % of Contribution to GDP Changes in contribution to GDP Energy 6.8 6.4 4.3 Mining 1.1 1.0 2.6 Industry 20.4 21.0 13.6 Electrical power 1.5 1.5 7.6 Construction 5.2 5.5 17.0 Total 35.0 35.4 11.7
  • 21. Changes in contribution of GDP growth of each sector for 2015- 2016 fiscal year (Base on yearly price changes index) ( Service Sector) Sub-sector Fiscal year (Service Sector) Service 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year Price % of Contribution to GDP % of Contribution to GDP Changes in contribution to GDP Transportation 11.4 11.3 10.1 Communication 0.9 1.7 116.5 Finance 0.1 0.2 26.5 Social and Management 2.8 3.0 14.8 Rental and other services 2.3 2.4 16.1 Trade 18.9 18.5 9.0 Total 36.4 37.1 12.9
  • 22. Changes in contribution of GDP growth of states and regions for 2015- 2016 fiscal year (Base on yearly price changes index) Regions and states Fiscal year Regions and states 2014-2015 fiscal year 2015-2016 fiscal year Price % of Contribution to GDP % of Contribution to GDP Changes in contribution to GDP Kachin 2.3 2.2 5.6 Kayah 0.3 0.4 11.1 Kayin 1.7 1.8 13.8 Chin 0.4 0.4 10.7 Sagain 10.9 11.1 12.8 Thanintharyi 5.3 5.1 6.2 Bago 7.8 8.0 13.1
  • 23. Targeted GDP growth of regions and states for 2014- 2015 fiscal year ( On the basic of 2010-2011 fiscal year) Regions and states Fiscal year Regions and states 2013-2014 fiscal year 2014-2015 fiscal year % of Contribution to GDP Actual GDP growth % of Contribution to GDP targeted GDP growth Magway 9.3 9.5 13.2 Mandalay 10.3 10.3 10.9 Mon 4.0 4.0 10.8 Rakhine 4.5 4.7 16.9 Yangon 21.1 21.7 13.8 Shan 6.3 6.0 6.4 Ayeyarwaddy 13.6 12.9 5.2 Naypyitaw 2.2 1.9 3.3
  • 24. Investment plan for each sector based on 2015-2016 fiscal year Sector 2013-2014 fiscal year ( National Planning) 2014-15 fiscal year ( National Planning) State- owned 29.4 25.6 Co- operative 0.01 0.01 Private 70.6 74.4

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