The National Climate Assessment
Jo-Ann Leong
National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee
Emily Therese ...
Session Objectives
• Learning about the process that is leading to the production
of the draft Third National Climate Asse...
US Global Change Research Program
Global Change Research Act
(1990) Mandate:
“To provide for development and
coordination ...
National Climate Assessment:
GCRA (1990), Section 106
…not less frequently than every 4 years, the Council… shall
prepare…...
Previous National Climate Assessments
Climate Change Impacts on the
United States (2000)
Climate Change Impacts in the
Uni...
The “New” National Climate Assessment
Goal
• Enhance the ability of the United States
to anticipate, mitigate, and adapt t...
Goals for the NCA
• A sustained process for informing an
integrated research program
• New approaches to development and u...
Outcomes of the NCA
• Ongoing, relevant, highly credible
analysis of scientific understanding of
climate change impacts, r...
Process to Date
• Interagency Working Group (INCA, 13+ agencies) plans and
manages federal components
• 60 member National...
NCA Structure
CENRS/OSTP
USGCRP
NCAnet
60+ Partners
NCADAC
(NCA and
Development
Advisory
Committee)
Fed Gov’t
Stakeholders...
Process to Date
• Process-focused workshops established
consistent methodologies, models,
scenarios, and approaches
• Regi...
Process to Date
• First “request for information”
resulted in 250+ technical inputs
submitted by 100+ individuals
and team...
Third NCA Report Process
Technical
Input Teams
Chapter
Author
Teams
NCADAC
Technical Inputs
(March 1, 2012)
Chapters
(June...
Products and Outcomes
• Third NCA Report as an e-book (300+ pages) and a printed
summary document (50 pages) [early 2014]
...
Outline for Third NCA Report
• Letter to the American People
• Executive Summary: Report Findings
• Introduction
• Our Cha...
Sectors
• Water Resources
• Energy Supply and Use
• Transportation
• Agriculture
• Forestry
• Ecosystems and
Biodiversity
...
Sectoral Cross-Cuts
• Water, Energy, and Land Use
• Urban Systems, Infrastructure,
and Vulnerability
• Impacts of Climate ...
Regions & Biogeographical Cross-Cuts
Coasts,
Development,
and Ecosystems
Oceans and
Marine
Resources
Review of Draft Third NCA Report
• Public comment period
(anticipated): January 14 –
April 12, 2013
• Town hall meetings i...
What will happen to the comments?
• They will be sorted by chapter and provided to the authors
• Authors and NCADAC will p...
Ensuring a Sustained Assessment
• Creating and sustaining the
capacity to conduct and use
assessments is an essential
part...
Sustained Assessment
Why Consider Special Reports and Activities?
• Deepen understanding of climate change effects on a
pa...
Sustained Assessment
Foundational and Special Topics
• Foundational Topics (supportive of 2017 synthesis reports and
beyon...
NCAnet: Partners in Assessment
Online at
http://ncanet.usgcrp.gov
• Partners: 60+ organizations
• List of partners’ NCA-
r...
Contributions: Technical Inputs
• Literature reviews, discussion papers, and
other review papers
– Synthesize recent work ...
Contributions: Assessment Capacities
• Meetings, workshops, and other
dialogues
– Discussions among producers and users
of...
Discussion Questions
• What activities planned as a part of the sustained assessment
process (e.g., indicators, scenario p...
Discussion Questions
• What lessons has PIRCA learned about building stakeholder
networks and capacity that might be trans...
Discussion Questions
• In addition to the chapter on Hawaii and the Pacific Islands,
what other chapters in the NCA report...
Thank you!
For more information:
http://assessment.globalchange.gov
Emily Therese Cloyd, NCA Public Participation and
Enga...
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National Climate Assessment presentation at Hawaii Town Hall

December 11, 2012
Published on: Mar 3, 2016
Published in: Government & Nonprofit      
Source: www.slideshare.net


Transcripts - National Climate Assessment presentation at Hawaii Town Hall

  • 1. The National Climate Assessment Jo-Ann Leong National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee Emily Therese Cloyd National Climate Assessment, US Global Change Research Program National Coordination Office Hawaii & Pacific Islands Regional Town Hall Meeting Honolulu, HI | December 11, 2012
  • 2. Session Objectives • Learning about the process that is leading to the production of the draft Third National Climate Assessment Report and the way it will continue into the future • Sharing local and regional perspectives on NCA-related topics (climate impacts, vulnerability assessments, adaptation activities) • Identifying ways that people and organizations in this region can be active participants in a sustained assessment process
  • 3. US Global Change Research Program Global Change Research Act (1990) Mandate: “To provide for development and coordination of a comprehensive and integrated United States research program which will assist the Nation and the world to understand, assess, predict, and respond to human-induced and natural processes of global change.” 13 Federal Departments & Agencies + Executive Office of the President
  • 4. National Climate Assessment: GCRA (1990), Section 106 …not less frequently than every 4 years, the Council… shall prepare… an assessment which – • integrates, evaluates, and interprets the findings of the Program (USGCRP) and discusses the scientific uncertainties associated with such findings; • analyzes the effects of global change on the natural environment, agriculture, energy production and use, land and water resources, transportation, human health and welfare, human social systems, and biological diversity; and • analyzes current trends in global change, both human- induced and natural, and projects major trends for the subsequent 25 to 100 years.
  • 5. Previous National Climate Assessments Climate Change Impacts on the United States (2000) Climate Change Impacts in the United States (2009) http://nca2009.globalchange.gov/
  • 6. The “New” National Climate Assessment Goal • Enhance the ability of the United States to anticipate, mitigate, and adapt to changes in the global environment. Vision • Advance an inclusive, broad-based, and sustained process for assessing and communicating scientific knowledge of the impacts, risks, and vulnerabilities associated with a changing global climate in support of decision-making across the United States.
  • 7. Goals for the NCA • A sustained process for informing an integrated research program • New approaches to development and use of scenarios at multiple scales • Evaluation of the implications of alternative adaptation and mitigation options • Community building within regions and sectors that can lead to enhanced resilience
  • 8. Outcomes of the NCA • Ongoing, relevant, highly credible analysis of scientific understanding of climate change impacts, risk, and vulnerability • Enhanced timely access to Assessment- related data from multiple sources useful for decision making • Systematic evaluation of progress towards reducing risk, vulnerability, and impacts • National indicators of change and the capacity to respond
  • 9. Process to Date • Interagency Working Group (INCA, 13+ agencies) plans and manages federal components • 60 member National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee (NCADAC) responsible for development the Third NCA Report and providing advice on the sustained NCA process • 240 authors selected by NCADAC, from academic, public, and private sectors • 60+ members in NCAnet, a network of partners (mostly) outside of the federal government that connects the NCA to assessment stakeholders
  • 10. NCA Structure CENRS/OSTP USGCRP NCAnet 60+ Partners NCADAC (NCA and Development Advisory Committee) Fed Gov’t Stakeholders External Stakeholders NCADAC Working Groups Sustained Process NCA Reports Interagency NCA Working Group Chapter Author Teams 13+ agencies, 20+ active members NCA Office Technical Support Unit (NOAA NCDC) ~10 staff ~10 staff 44 Non-Federal Members 16 Federal Ex Officio Members 12 working groups 240 authors
  • 11. Process to Date • Process-focused workshops established consistent methodologies, models, scenarios, and approaches • Regional and sectoral workshops convened by agency-sponsored technical input teams • Listening sessions and symposia at professional society meetings focusing on ecosystems, water, meteorology, soil science, applied anthropology, resource management, and more
  • 12. Process to Date • First “request for information” resulted in 250+ technical inputs submitted by 100+ individuals and teams, including: – New regional climate histories and projections for each region – New sea level rise scenarios – In-depth foundational assessments for each region and most sectors • Author teams have delivered their draft chapters to the NCADAC for approval to release for public comment Island Press is publishing most of the regional technical inputs over the next few months: http://www.cakex.org/NCAreports (PIRCA and Coasts currently available) Most of the federal agency-sponsored reports are available from http://www.globalchange.gov/what-we- do/assessment/nca-activities/available- technical-inputs
  • 13. Third NCA Report Process Technical Input Teams Chapter Author Teams NCADAC Technical Inputs (March 1, 2012) Chapters (June 1, 2012) Draft Report (Fall 2012) Public and Expert Review Agency & White House Review Third NCA Report Early 2014 Approx. January 14 – April 12, 2013 Revised Draft Report Federal agencies, universities, NCAnet members, and others
  • 14. Products and Outcomes • Third NCA Report as an e-book (300+ pages) and a printed summary document (50 pages) [early 2014] • First stage of the Global Change Information System (GCIS), which will provide access to the underlying information and analyses used in the NCA Report [early 2014] • Foundation for strong communications products and processes useful to a variety of audiences, including national, regional, state, and local decision makers
  • 15. Outline for Third NCA Report • Letter to the American People • Executive Summary: Report Findings • Introduction • Our Changing Climate • Sectors & Sectoral Cross-cuts • Regions & Biogeographical Cross-cuts • Responses – Decision Support – Mitigation – Adaptation • Agenda for Climate Change Science • The NCA Long-term Process • Appendices – Commonly Asked Questions – Expanded Climate Science Info 15
  • 16. Sectors • Water Resources • Energy Supply and Use • Transportation • Agriculture • Forestry • Ecosystems and Biodiversity • Human Health
  • 17. Sectoral Cross-Cuts • Water, Energy, and Land Use • Urban Systems, Infrastructure, and Vulnerability • Impacts of Climate Change on Tribal, Indigenous, and Native Lands and Resources • Land Use and Land Cover Change • Rural Communities • Biogeochemical Cycles
  • 18. Regions & Biogeographical Cross-Cuts Coasts, Development, and Ecosystems Oceans and Marine Resources
  • 19. Review of Draft Third NCA Report • Public comment period (anticipated): January 14 – April 12, 2013 • Town hall meetings in each of the eight geographic regions • Review comments are an important part of the process of producing a credible and relevant report • Comments MUST be submitted via the online comment tool Draft report information: http://www.globalchange.gov/what- we-do/assessment/draft-report- information Main NCA page: http://assessment.globalchange.gov
  • 20. What will happen to the comments? • They will be sorted by chapter and provided to the authors • Authors and NCADAC will prepare responses • A summary of questions and responses will be prepared • Changes will be made to the draft document • Review editors will assess the adequacy of the responses • The National Academies will review the revised document and evaluate the adequacy of responses • A revised draft report will be prepared for review and approval by the NCADAC
  • 21. Ensuring a Sustained Assessment • Creating and sustaining the capacity to conduct and use assessments is an essential part of the NCA process • NCADAC is charged with both report production and providing advice on the sustained process • The sustained assessment process is already underway
  • 22. Sustained Assessment Why Consider Special Reports and Activities? • Deepen understanding of climate change effects on a particular sector or region that are of national importance • Investigate new scientific issues of concern • Build capacity to conduct more sophisticated, useful, and credible assessments over time • Better support decisions that reduce risk and increase opportunities • Enable a full review for issues of national importance in an efficient and credible way
  • 23. Sustained Assessment Foundational and Special Topics • Foundational Topics (supportive of 2017 synthesis reports and beyond) – Sustained assessment – Scenario development – Integration with CMIP5 outputs – Land cover/use cover updates – Indicators – Valuation • Special topics “experiments” (require more depth than is afforded by coverage within a synthesis report) – Food security – International context – Water and drought – Large biophysical regions (e.g., Arctic or Mississippi Watershed)
  • 24. NCAnet: Partners in Assessment Online at http://ncanet.usgcrp.gov • Partners: 60+ organizations • List of partners’ NCA- related activities • Monthly conversations among existing partners • “Affinity groups” model for collaboration on activities • A network of organizations that extend the NCA process and products beyond the federal government • Building long-term capacity to conduct and use assessments • Cultivating partnerships with organizations that will participate in the sustained assessment process
  • 25. Contributions: Technical Inputs • Literature reviews, discussion papers, and other review papers – Synthesize recent work in relevant field(s) – Consider assessment methods – Highlight important questions for future study • Case studies of a particular community – Climate change vulnerabilities or impacts – Planning for and responses to climate change • Data, modeling results, interpretation, and topical reports – Analysis, synthesis, and interpretation – Metadata and quality assurance information Examples: Climate Adaptation Knowledge Exchange, The Future of Research on Climate Change Impacts on Water
  • 26. Contributions: Assessment Capacities • Meetings, workshops, and other dialogues – Discussions among producers and users of assessments – Throughout assessment process • Supporting indicator systems – Identifying / maintaining key observation & monitoring systems – Integrating across data sets to create indicators • Stakeholder analyses – Knowledge and attitudes – Communication pathways – Network analyses • Communicating with stakeholders – Outreach and educational materials – Evaluating effectiveness and use Examples: Climate Conversations (Charleston, Omaha, Milwaukee, and Las Vegas), Listening Session on Communication Strategies, Health Sector Workshops (Southeast and Northwest), Publication of Technical Input Reports
  • 27. Discussion Questions • What activities planned as a part of the sustained assessment process (e.g., indicators, scenario planning, NCAnet, etc.) do you think are of great interest? What can this community contribute to those activities? • In addition to the capabilities and reports being developed through PIRCA, what other data collection, research, and/or decision making activities are you already involved in that might contribute to NCA reports and processes? What new efforts might be organized?
  • 28. Discussion Questions • What lessons has PIRCA learned about building stakeholder networks and capacity that might be transferred to the NCA? • What are the unique opportunities or challenges in connecting the Hawaii and the Pacific Islands region to the larger NCA network? How can we capitalize on opportunities and/or overcome challenges? • What capabilities might the NCA be able to provide to support a regional network in Hawaii and the Pacific Islands?
  • 29. Discussion Questions • In addition to the chapter on Hawaii and the Pacific Islands, what other chapters in the NCA report do you see as of great interest to the region? • What topics do you not see represented in the 2013 report that you would like to see addressed in future NCA products? How can this community contribute to developing those products?
  • 30. Thank you! For more information: http://assessment.globalchange.gov Emily Therese Cloyd, NCA Public Participation and Engagement Coordinator ecloyd@usgcrp.gov

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